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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Coventry City in this match.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Coventry City |
33.99% ( 0.07) | 27.37% ( -0) | 38.64% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 49.54% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44% ( 0.02) | 56% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.91% ( 0.02) | 77.09% ( -0.02) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.97% ( 0.06) | 31.03% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.66% ( 0.07) | 67.34% ( -0.07) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.83% ( -0.03) | 28.17% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.14% ( -0.04) | 63.86% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Coventry City |
1-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 33.98% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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