Championship

Championship | Gameweek 29

Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 2
Hull City

Aribo (88')
Walker-Peters (23')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Zaroury (11'), Carvalho (36')
Jones (78'), Jacob (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Southampton and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: West Brom 0-2 Southampton
Friday, February 16 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hull City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-2 Hull City
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Southampton 3-1 Hull City

Southampton were controlled in their success over West Brom last time out, and we are expecting more of the same from the Saints at St Mary's in this one. Hull made hard work of trips to Rotherham and Huddersfield in the past week, and we cannot envisage the Tigers recording three-straight away maximums. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 17.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 1-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for a Hull City win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Hull City
63.29% ( -2.15)	19.31% ( 0.69)	17.39% ( 1.45)

Both teams to score 59.58% (

0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.93% (

-0.52)

35.06% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.93% (

-0.59)

57.06% (

0.58)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.42% (

-0.68)

10.58% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.66% (

-1.54)

34.33% (

1.54)

Hull City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.63% (

1.35)

33.37% (

-1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30% (

1.45)

69.99% (

-1.45)

Score Analysis

Southampton 63.29%

Hull City 17.39%

Draw 19.32%

Southampton	Draw	Hull City
2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.29) 1-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.42) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.35) 4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.21) 5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.02% Total : 63.29%	1-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.32%	1-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.33) 0-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.91% Total : 17.39%