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Championship | Gameweek 29
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Hull logo

Southampton
1 - 2
Hull City

Aribo (88')
Walker-Peters (23')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Zaroury (11'), Carvalho (36')
Jones (78'), Jacob (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Southampton and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Southampton 3-1 Hull City

Southampton were controlled in their success over West Brom last time out, and we are expecting more of the same from the Saints at St Mary's in this one. Hull made hard work of trips to Rotherham and Huddersfield in the past week, and we cannot envisage the Tigers recording three-straight away maximums. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 17.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 1-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for a Hull City win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawHull City
63.29% (-2.148 -2.15) 19.31% (0.69 0.69) 17.39% (1.454 1.45)
Both teams to score 59.58% (0.76 0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.93% (-0.52199999999999 -0.52)35.06% (0.519 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.93% (-0.585 -0.59)57.06% (0.581 0.58)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.42% (-0.678 -0.68)10.58% (0.676 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.66% (-1.544 -1.54)34.33% (1.54 1.54)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63% (1.345 1.35)33.37% (-1.348 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30% (1.45 1.45)69.99% (-1.454 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 63.29%
    Hull City 17.39%
    Draw 19.32%
SouthamptonDrawHull City
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.051 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.91% (-0.285 -0.29)
1-0 @ 7.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.32% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-0 @ 6.67% (-0.416 -0.42)
4-1 @ 4.11% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-2 @ 4.02% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.75% (-0.35 -0.35)
4-2 @ 2.26% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.85% (-0.157 -0.16)
5-0 @ 1.68% (-0.212 -0.21)
5-2 @ 1.01% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 63.29%
1-1 @ 8.7% (0.293 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 3.53% (0.092 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 19.32%
1-2 @ 4.78% (0.327 0.33)
0-1 @ 3.87% (0.237 0.24)
0-2 @ 2.13% (0.202 0.2)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.148 0.15)
1-3 @ 1.75% (0.178 0.18)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 17.39%

How you voted: Southampton vs Hull City

Southampton
Draw
Hull City
Southampton
77.3%
Draw
10.0%
Hull City
12.7%
110
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Hull City
1-2
Southampton
Delap (25')
Philogene-Bidace (45+1'), Christie (46'), Morton (52'), Sayyadmanesh (90+5')
Smallbone (20'), Fraser (90+5')
Manning (39'), Alcaraz (48'), Fraser (90+3')
Nov 6, 2016 2.15pm
Hull City
2-1
Southampton
Snodgrass (61'), Dawson (63')
Austin (6' pen.)
Tadic (29'), Clasie (57'), Bertrand (72'), Yoshida (83'), Romeu (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds442713489296094
2Burnley442616261154694
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd442771060352586
4Sunderland4421131058411776
5Bristol City441716115749867
6Coventry CityCoventry44199166257566
7Middlesbrough441891764541063
8Millwall441712154546-163
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn44188185046462
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom441418125244860
11Swansea CitySwansea44179184852-460
12Watford44168205158-756
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds441511185867-956
14Norwich CityNorwich441314176766153
15Queens Park RangersQPR441314175258-653
16Portsmouth441410205669-1352
17Stoke CityStoke441214184560-1550
18Preston North EndPreston441019154555-1049
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd441213194462-1849
20Hull City441212204352-948
21Derby CountyDerby441210224756-946
22Luton TownLuton441210224164-2346
23Cardiff CityCardiff44916194669-2343
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441013214885-3743


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