MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 02:51:11| >> :600:1298809:1298809:
Southampton logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round Replays
Feb 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Watford logo

Southampton
3 - 0
Watford

Mara (52', 58'), Adams (76')
Smallbone (21'), Obling (51'), Edozie (86'), Armstrong (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Morris (46'), Chakvetadze (49'), Porteous (69'), Sierralta (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Southampton and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 Southampton
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 3-1 Watford

Southampton have home advantage in this winner-takes-all clash, and they should be confident of extending their unbeaten run to 24 matches on Tuesday night. Watford have a number of attacking players who could cause damage on the South Coast, but we believe that the Hornets' FA Cup journey ends here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Watford had a probability of 20.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Watford win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawWatford
57.92% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 21.9% (0.0019999999999989 0) 20.18% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.61% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.3%42.7% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.9% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.1%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.52% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)14.47% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.55% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)42.45% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.02% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)34.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)71.72% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 57.92%
    Watford 20.18%
    Draw 21.89%
SouthamptonDrawWatford
2-1 @ 9.93%
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.36%
4-1 @ 3.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.62%
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 57.92%
1-1 @ 10.27%
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.89%
1-2 @ 5.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 20.18%

How you voted: Southampton vs Watford

Southampton
81.5%
Draw
10.2%
Watford
8.3%
157
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2024 2pm
Fourth Round
Watford
1-1
Southampton
Martins (5')
Chakvetadze (45')
Armstrong (89')
Holgate (4'), Alcaraz (40')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Watford
1-1
Southampton
Healey (90+6')
Porteous (59'), Kone (61'), Hoedt (87')
Adams (56')
Charles (34'), Armstrong (45'), Armstrong (87'), Fraser (90+3')
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
Southampton
1-2
Watford
Elyounoussi (45')
Perraud (48'), Romeu (65'), Bednarek (76')
Camilo Hernandez (14', 34')
Camilo Hernandez (60'), Sissoko (86')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Watford
0-1
Southampton

Pedro (45+2'), Kucka (76')
Adams (20')
Salisu (55'), Ward-Prowse (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Everton236892328-526
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


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