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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Southampton logo

Bristol City
3 - 1
Southampton

Bell (52'), Dickie (72'), Cornick (82')
Vyner (65'), Williams (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Armstrong (90+5' pen.)
Fraser (90+2'), Deen Sulemana (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Southampton

Southampton will be eyeing their 20th Championship win of the campaign on Tuesday evening, but it will be tough against a solid Bristol City outfit. It would not be a surprise to see the points shared in this match, but we just have a feeling that the Saints will shade it to secure a vital three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 19.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.38%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Bristol City win it was 2-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawSouthampton
19.64% (-0.206 -0.21) 21.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 58.99% (0.188 0.19)
Both teams to score 56.54% (-0.41500000000001 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.96% (-0.386 -0.39)41.04% (0.388 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.57% (-0.396 -0.4)63.43% (0.39700000000001 0.4)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.44% (-0.42999999999999 -0.43)34.56% (0.431 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.72% (-0.461 -0.46)71.28% (0.462 0.46)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.4% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)13.59% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.27% (-0.138 -0.14)40.73% (0.139 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 19.64%
    Southampton 58.99%
    Draw 21.36%
Bristol CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 5.29% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.99% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.65% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 0.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 19.64%
1-1 @ 9.96% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.7% (0.082 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.36%
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.141 0.14)
0-2 @ 9.36% (0.117 0.12)
1-3 @ 6.61% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.22% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.1% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.75% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.32% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.24% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 58.99%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Southampton

Bristol City
19.8%
Draw
17.9%
Southampton
62.3%
106
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 24, 2013 7.45pm
Dec 30, 2011 9.53pm
Southampton
0-1
Bristol City

Schneiderlin (65'), Fox (90')
Pearson (79')
Carey (34'), Wilson (61'), Pearson (69'), James (90'), Maynard (90')
Nov 26, 2011 3pm
Feb 14, 2009 3pm
Bristol City
2-0
Southampton
Adebola (34'), Sproule (90')
Fontaine (56'), Orr (86'), Williams (89')

Skacel (15'), Surman (50'), Schneiderlin (62')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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