Championship

Championship | Gameweek 27

Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
4 - 0
Sheff Weds

Adams (35'), Armstrong (63'), Fraser (75'), Mara (85')
Bednarek (56'), Armstrong (59'), Downes (65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bernard (10'), Bannan (52'), Ihiekwe (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Southampton 4-0 Walsall
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sheff Weds 4-0 Cardiff
Saturday, January 6 at 5.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Southampton 2-0 Sheffield Wednesday

Sheffield Wednesday have certainly come on leaps and bounds in recent months and will fancy themselves to go toe to toe with any Championship side, but Saturday's trip to the in-form promotion-hopefuls may be a step too far, and we can only envisage Russell Martin's side outclassing the Owls at St Mary's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 63.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Sheffield Wednesday
63.21% ( 0.04)	20.71% ( -0.03)	16.08% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 51.65% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.95% (

0.09)

44.06% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.56% (

0.09)

66.44% (

-0.09)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.71% (

0.04)

13.3% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.88% (

0.08)

40.12% (

-0.08)

Sheffield Wednesday Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.58% (

0.04)

40.43% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.96% (

0.04)

77.04% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Southampton 63.21%

Sheffield Wednesday 16.08%

Draw 20.71%

Southampton	Draw	Sheffield Wednesday
2-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.36% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 63.21%	1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.71%	0-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 16.08%