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Birmingham logo
FA Cup | Third Round Replays
Jan 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Hull logo

Birmingham
2 - 1
Hull City

Stansfield (66'), Miyoshi (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lokilo (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Birmingham City and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 2-2 Swansea
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-2 Norwich
Friday, January 12 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Hull City

Birmingham were up for the fight during Mowbray's first match but looked defensively weak at points, something Hull's Carvalho could take advantage of. The Tigers are dominating football matches but are not finding the results in recent games, but they should be good enough for the win here unless they rotate their side heavily. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawHull City
33.21% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 26.23%40.55%
Both teams to score 52.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.41%51.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.62%73.37%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.67% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.69%65.3%
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93%25.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25%59.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 33.21%
    Hull City 40.55%
    Draw 26.23%
Birmingham CityDrawHull City
1-0 @ 9.02%
2-1 @ 7.65%
2-0 @ 5.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.13%
3-0 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 33.21%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.35%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 10.17%
1-2 @ 8.63%
0-2 @ 7.04%
1-3 @ 3.98%
0-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 2.44%
1-4 @ 1.38%
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 40.55%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Hull City

Birmingham City
48.2%
Draw
10.7%
Hull City
41.1%
56
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 3pm
Third Round
Hull City
1-1
Birmingham
Jacob (87')
Tufan (90+1')
Jutkiewicz (18')
Jutkiewicz (39'), Sanderson (43'), Dembele (57'), Etheridge (75'), Bielik (86'), James (90+4')
Oct 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Birmingham
0-2
Hull City

Long (55'), Bacuna (90+3')
Delap (12'), Philogene-Bidace (74')
Delap (55')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 16, 2022 3.20pm
Gameweek 15
Hull City
0-2
Birmingham
Deeney (14' pen.), Bacuna (47')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
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7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
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19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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