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Birmingham logo
FA Cup | Third Round Replays
Jan 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Hull logo

Birmingham
2 - 1
Hull City

Stansfield (66'), Miyoshi (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lokilo (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Birmingham City and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 2-2 Swansea
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-2 Norwich
Friday, January 12 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Hull City

Birmingham were up for the fight during Mowbray's first match but looked defensively weak at points, something Hull's Carvalho could take advantage of. The Tigers are dominating football matches but are not finding the results in recent games, but they should be good enough for the win here unless they rotate their side heavily. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawHull City
33.21% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 26.23%40.55%
Both teams to score 52.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.41%51.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.62%73.37%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.67% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.69%65.3%
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93%25.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25%59.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 33.21%
    Hull City 40.55%
    Draw 26.23%
Birmingham CityDrawHull City
1-0 @ 9.02%
2-1 @ 7.65%
2-0 @ 5.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.13%
3-0 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 33.21%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.35%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 10.17%
1-2 @ 8.63%
0-2 @ 7.04%
1-3 @ 3.98%
0-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 2.44%
1-4 @ 1.38%
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 40.55%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Hull City

Birmingham City
48.2%
Draw
10.7%
Hull City
41.1%
56
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 3pm
Third Round
Hull City
1-1
Birmingham
Jacob (87')
Tufan (90+1')
Jutkiewicz (18')
Jutkiewicz (39'), Sanderson (43'), Dembele (57'), Etheridge (75'), Bielik (86'), James (90+4')
Oct 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Birmingham
0-2
Hull City

Long (55'), Bacuna (90+3')
Delap (12'), Philogene-Bidace (74')
Delap (55')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 16, 2022 3.20pm
Gameweek 15
Hull City
0-2
Birmingham
Deeney (14' pen.), Bacuna (47')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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