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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 68.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 13.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.8%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Southampton in this match.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Southampton |
13.28% ( -0.19) | 18.38% ( 0.12) | 68.34% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 52.46% ( -1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.62% ( -1.06) | 39.37% ( 1.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.28% ( -1.12) | 61.71% ( 1.11) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.63% ( -0.97) | 41.37% ( 0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.11% ( -0.87) | 77.89% ( 0.86) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.48% ( -0.28) | 10.52% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.79% ( -0.62) | 34.21% ( 0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Southampton |
1-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 1.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.54% Total : 13.28% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.38% | 0-2 @ 11.03% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 8.28% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 7.31% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 4.66% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 4.12% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.13) 0-5 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.85% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.09) Other @ 4.39% Total : 68.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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