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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.79%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Luton Town |
40.79% | 30.38% | 28.83% |
Both teams to score 39.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.89% | 67.11% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.66% | 85.34% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.54% | 32.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.02% | 68.98% |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.15% | 40.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.58% | 77.42% |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 14.91% 2-0 @ 8.39% 2-1 @ 7.52% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.73% Total : 40.78% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 13.25% 2-2 @ 3.37% Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.37% | 0-1 @ 11.87% 1-2 @ 5.98% 0-2 @ 5.31% 1-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.29% Total : 28.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |