We said: Stoke City 2-1 Norwich City
Stoke continue a tough run of fixtures by welcoming Norwich to the bet365 Stadium on Saturday, although they will be confident of extending their unbeaten run to four games following impressive performances over the past week.
The Canaries suffered a disappointing result and more injury setbacks at Huddersfield in the week, and we feel those circumstances could contribute to another poor showing this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.