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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Millwall logo

Stoke
0 - 1
Millwall

FT(HT: 0-1)
Flemming (9')
McNamara (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Stoke
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Burnley
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Millwall

Although Millwall will consider themselves as favourites for this contest, it remains to be seen what their last two fixtures have taken out of them. With Stoke having improved of late, a share of the spoils could be played out in the Potteries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawMillwall
43.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.55% (0.0010000000000012 0) 29.02% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 47.32% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.99%58% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.31% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.69% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5%26.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)61.68% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.38% (0.0019999999999953 0)35.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)72.38% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 43.42%
    Millwall 29.02%
    Draw 27.54%
Stoke CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.53%
2-1 @ 8.59%
2-0 @ 8.32%
3-1 @ 3.81%
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 43.42%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.44% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.54%
0-1 @ 9.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.68%
0-2 @ 5.03%
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 29.02%

How you voted: Stoke vs Millwall

Stoke City
46.0%
Draw
28.0%
Millwall
26.0%
50
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Millwall
2-0
Stoke
Cresswell (12', 65')
Cresswell (39')

Flint (44'), Kilkenny (83')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Stoke
2-0
Millwall
Brown (19'), Saville (70' og.)
Tymon (56'), Brown (65'), Thompson (84')

Ballard (85')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Millwall
2-1
Stoke
Bradshaw (51', 61')
Malone (32'), Smith (84')
Sawyers (20')
Souttar (45+1')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Stoke
1-2
Millwall
Brown (41')
Batth (37')
Wallace (36'), Bennett (71')
Wallace (90+3')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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