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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Millwall logo

Stoke
0 - 1
Millwall

FT(HT: 0-1)
Flemming (9')
McNamara (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Stoke
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Burnley
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Millwall

Although Millwall will consider themselves as favourites for this contest, it remains to be seen what their last two fixtures have taken out of them. With Stoke having improved of late, a share of the spoils could be played out in the Potteries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawMillwall
43.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.55% (0.0010000000000012 0) 29.02% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 47.32% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.99%58% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.31% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.69% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5%26.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)61.68% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.38% (0.0019999999999953 0)35.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)72.38% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 43.42%
    Millwall 29.02%
    Draw 27.54%
Stoke CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.53%
2-1 @ 8.59%
2-0 @ 8.32%
3-1 @ 3.81%
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 43.42%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.44% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.54%
0-1 @ 9.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.68%
0-2 @ 5.03%
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 29.02%

How you voted: Stoke vs Millwall

Stoke City
46.0%
Draw
28.0%
Millwall
26.0%
50
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Millwall
2-0
Stoke
Cresswell (12', 65')
Cresswell (39')

Flint (44'), Kilkenny (83')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Stoke
2-0
Millwall
Brown (19'), Saville (70' og.)
Tymon (56'), Brown (65'), Thompson (84')

Ballard (85')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Millwall
2-1
Stoke
Bradshaw (51', 61')
Malone (32'), Smith (84')
Sawyers (20')
Souttar (45+1')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Stoke
1-2
Millwall
Brown (41')
Batth (37')
Wallace (36'), Bennett (71')
Wallace (90+3')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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