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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Stoke logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Stoke

Akpom (23')
Forss (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hoever (45')
Brown (29'), Tuanzebe (58'), Pearson (75'), Campbell (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Stoke City

Stoke's recent form has been impressive, but Middlesbrough have been strong at home this season, only losing two of their 17 matches in front of their own fans. It should be a tight game on Tuesday evening, but Carrick's side have enough quality to claim another victory in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
50.96% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02) 24.46%24.58% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.09% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.16% (0.021999999999998 0.02)48.84% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.07% (0.02 0.02)70.93% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.83% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)19.17% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.17%50.83% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.68% (0.030000000000001 0.03)34.32% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.98% (0.033000000000001 0.03)71.02% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 50.95%
    Stoke City 24.58%
    Draw 24.46%
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.98% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.29%
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 50.95%
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 6.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.46%
0-1 @ 7.04%
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 24.58%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Stoke

Middlesbrough
77.6%
Draw
10.6%
Stoke City
11.8%
85
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2022 7.45pm
Stoke
2-2
Middlesbrough
Brown (19'), Wright-Phillips (90+1')
Brown (41'), Baker (51')
Watmore (38'), Jagielka (63' og.)
Dijksteel (90+1')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Middlesbrough
3-1
Stoke
Crooks (21', 72'), Baker (25' og.)
Powell (90+4')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Stoke
1-0
Middlesbrough
Collins (19')
Campbell (69'), Brown (79')

Fry (26'), Saville (70'), Bola (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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