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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Stoke logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Stoke

Akpom (23')
Forss (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hoever (45')
Brown (29'), Tuanzebe (58'), Pearson (75'), Campbell (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Stoke City

Stoke's recent form has been impressive, but Middlesbrough have been strong at home this season, only losing two of their 17 matches in front of their own fans. It should be a tight game on Tuesday evening, but Carrick's side have enough quality to claim another victory in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
50.96% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02) 24.46%24.58% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.09% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.16% (0.021999999999998 0.02)48.84% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.07% (0.02 0.02)70.93% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.83% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)19.17% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.17%50.83% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.68% (0.030000000000001 0.03)34.32% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.98% (0.033000000000001 0.03)71.02% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 50.95%
    Stoke City 24.58%
    Draw 24.46%
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.98% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.29%
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 50.95%
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 6.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.46%
0-1 @ 7.04%
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 24.58%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Stoke

Middlesbrough
77.6%
Draw
10.6%
Stoke City
11.8%
85
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2022 7.45pm
Stoke
2-2
Middlesbrough
Brown (19'), Wright-Phillips (90+1')
Brown (41'), Baker (51')
Watmore (38'), Jagielka (63' og.)
Dijksteel (90+1')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Middlesbrough
3-1
Stoke
Crooks (21', 72'), Baker (25' og.)
Powell (90+4')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Stoke
1-0
Middlesbrough
Collins (19')
Campbell (69'), Brown (79')

Fry (26'), Saville (70'), Bola (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.20am
Bills
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Swansea CitySwansea732285311
10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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