MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 10:53:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Norwich logo
Championship | Gameweek 29
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Birmingham logo

Norwich
3 - 1
Birmingham

Nunez (27', 36'), Tzolis (90+4')
McLean (16')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Colin (53')
Chang (5'), Bacuna (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Norwich
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Birmingham City

Norwich were disappointed after leaving Wigan with just a point on Saturday afternoon and will be desperate to get back to winning ways in order to keep the top six within touching distance. Birmingham were hit with a loss as well as two damaging injuries at Huddersfield last time out, and it will be a tough ask to avoid a similar fate in terms of the result at Carrow Road on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 20.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBirmingham City
56.44% (-3.057 -3.06) 23.13% (0.862 0.86) 20.43% (2.192 2.19)
Both teams to score 52% (0.957 0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.31% (-0.579 -0.58)47.69% (0.576 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.11% (-0.538 -0.54)69.89% (0.536 0.54)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.3% (-1.244 -1.24)16.69% (1.242 1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.42% (-2.272 -2.27)46.58% (2.269 2.27)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.42% (2.051 2.05)37.58% (-2.054 -2.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.64% (1.954 1.95)74.36% (-1.955 -1.96)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 56.44%
    Birmingham City 20.43%
    Draw 23.12%
Norwich CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.23% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-0 @ 10.05% (-0.62 -0.62)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6% (-0.648 -0.65)
3-1 @ 5.87% (-0.282 -0.28)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.419 -0.42)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.245 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.198 -0.2)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 56.44%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.41 0.41)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.24 0.24)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 6.14% (0.472 0.47)
1-2 @ 5.38% (0.481 0.48)
0-2 @ 3.01% (0.382 0.38)
1-3 @ 1.76% (0.244 0.24)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.16 0.16)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.171 0.17)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 20.43%

How you voted: Norwich vs Birmingham

Norwich City
81.6%
Draw
9.6%
Birmingham City
8.8%
114
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Norwich
2-2
Birmingham
Norwich win 4-2 on penalties
Sinani (45+1'), Sorensen (45+3')
Hugill (19')
Leko (53'), Tomkinson (79' og.)
Jutkiewicz (11'), Colin (71')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Birmingham
1-3
Norwich
Sanchez (39')
Hogan (68'), Clarke-Salter (84')
Pukki (26', 76'), Skipp (90+5')
Zimmermann (19'), Vrancic (62')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Norwich
1-0
Birmingham
Vrancic (87')
Idah (89')

Clayton (50'), Dean (54'), Friend (88'), Sunjic (90')
Clayton (86')
Jan 18, 2019 7.45pm
Norwich
3-1
Birmingham
Pukki (13'), Vrancic (22'), Trybull (25')
Adams (14')
Kieftenbeld (27'), Pedersen (29'), Gardner (80'), Morrison (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Packers
@
Bears
6pm
Raiders
@
Dolphins
6pm
Colts
@
Jets
6pm
Jags
@
Lions
6pm
Rams
@
Patriots
6pm
Browns
@
Saints
6pm
Ravens
@
Steelers
6pm
Vikings
@
Titans
9.05pm
Seahawks
@
49ers
9.05pm
Falcons
@
Broncos
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Bills
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!