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Championship | Gameweek 29
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Birmingham logo

Norwich
3 - 1
Birmingham

Nunez (27', 36'), Tzolis (90+4')
McLean (16')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Colin (53')
Chang (5'), Bacuna (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Norwich
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Birmingham City

Norwich were disappointed after leaving Wigan with just a point on Saturday afternoon and will be desperate to get back to winning ways in order to keep the top six within touching distance. Birmingham were hit with a loss as well as two damaging injuries at Huddersfield last time out, and it will be a tough ask to avoid a similar fate in terms of the result at Carrow Road on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 20.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBirmingham City
56.44% (-3.057 -3.06) 23.13% (0.862 0.86) 20.43% (2.192 2.19)
Both teams to score 52% (0.957 0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.31% (-0.579 -0.58)47.69% (0.576 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.11% (-0.538 -0.54)69.89% (0.536 0.54)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.3% (-1.244 -1.24)16.69% (1.242 1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.42% (-2.272 -2.27)46.58% (2.269 2.27)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.42% (2.051 2.05)37.58% (-2.054 -2.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.64% (1.954 1.95)74.36% (-1.955 -1.96)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 56.44%
    Birmingham City 20.43%
    Draw 23.12%
Norwich CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.23% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-0 @ 10.05% (-0.62 -0.62)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6% (-0.648 -0.65)
3-1 @ 5.87% (-0.282 -0.28)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.419 -0.42)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.245 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.198 -0.2)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 56.44%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.41 0.41)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.24 0.24)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 6.14% (0.472 0.47)
1-2 @ 5.38% (0.481 0.48)
0-2 @ 3.01% (0.382 0.38)
1-3 @ 1.76% (0.244 0.24)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.16 0.16)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.171 0.17)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 20.43%

How you voted: Norwich vs Birmingham

Norwich City
81.6%
Draw
9.6%
Birmingham City
8.8%
114
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Norwich
2-2
Birmingham
Norwich win 4-2 on penalties
Sinani (45+1'), Sorensen (45+3')
Hugill (19')
Leko (53'), Tomkinson (79' og.)
Jutkiewicz (11'), Colin (71')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Birmingham
1-3
Norwich
Sanchez (39')
Hogan (68'), Clarke-Salter (84')
Pukki (26', 76'), Skipp (90+5')
Zimmermann (19'), Vrancic (62')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Norwich
1-0
Birmingham
Vrancic (87')
Idah (89')

Clayton (50'), Dean (54'), Friend (88'), Sunjic (90')
Clayton (86')
Jan 18, 2019 7.45pm
Norwich
3-1
Birmingham
Pukki (13'), Vrancic (22'), Trybull (25')
Adams (14')
Kieftenbeld (27'), Pedersen (29'), Gardner (80'), Morrison (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Swansea CitySwansea732285311
10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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