Championship

Championship | Gameweek 35

Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
2 - 3
Norwich

Bradshaw (20'), Flemming (83')
Leonard (12'), McNamara (67')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sorensen (38'), Bradshaw (55' og.), Sara (65')
Hernandez (35'), Gibson (80'), Aarons (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 2-2 Millwall
Tuesday, February 28 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Millwall 1-1 Norwich City

This has all the makings of a highly-competitive game and Norwich will be confident of becoming just the third team to defeat Millwall at The Den this season. However, we feel that a share of the spoils is most likely, one which would still suit the visitors more so than their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Norwich City
36.47% ( 0.18)	27.22% ( -0.01)	36.3% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 50.21% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.74% (

0.05)

55.26% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.52% (

0.05)

76.48% (

-0.04)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.91% (

0.14)

29.09% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.99% (

0.16)

65.01% (

-0.16)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.8% (

-0.07)

29.2% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.86% (

-0.09)

65.14% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Millwall 36.47%

Norwich City 36.3%

Draw 27.22%

Millwall	Draw	Norwich City
1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.47%	1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.22%	0-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 36.3%