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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
QPR logo

Stoke
1 - 0
QPR

Burger (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hayden (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 3-1 Stoke
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-2 Norwich
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Queens Park Rangers

Stoke defender Wilmot said that the Potters' dressing room is not a nice place to be amid their recent struggles - an admission that does not bode well ahead of a relegation six-pointer on Wednesday. QPR have been boosted by a number of additions in the January window, and we believe that the R's will escape the bottom three with a win in Staffordshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
36.67% (0.064999999999998 0.06) 27.68% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 35.64% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 48.77% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.95% (0.041000000000004 0.04)57.05% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.06% (0.033000000000001 0.03)77.94% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (0.061000000000007 0.06)29.85% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.07% (0.071999999999996 0.07)65.93% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)30.49% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)66.7% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 36.67%
    Queens Park Rangers 35.64%
    Draw 27.67%
Stoke CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 7.9% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.65% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 36.67%
1-1 @ 13.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.1% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 10.8% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 35.64%

How you voted: Stoke vs QPR

Stoke City
21.6%
Draw
9.9%
Queens Park Rangers
68.5%
111
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
QPR
4-2
Stoke
Dykes (11' pen., 79'), Pearson (89' og.), Willock (90+4')
Colback (86'), Begovic (90+6')
Mmaee (45'), Burger (59')
Stevens (10'), Burger (19'), Campbell (56'), Mmaee (56'), Gooch (74'), Johnson (81')
Stevens (53')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Stoke
0-1
QPR
Adomah (48')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
QPR
0-0
Stoke
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Stoke
1-0
QPR
Brown (45+1')

Dunne (13')
Dec 5, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
QPR
0-2
Stoke
Campbell (14'), Vrancic (78')
Fox (53')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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