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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
36.67% ( 0.06) | 27.68% ( -0.01) | 35.64% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 48.77% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.95% ( 0.04) | 57.05% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.06% ( 0.03) | 77.94% ( -0.03) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.15% ( 0.06) | 29.85% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.07% ( 0.07) | 65.93% ( -0.07) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.51% ( -0.01) | 30.49% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.3% ( -0.02) | 66.7% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
1-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.67% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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