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[monks data]
Stoke logo
Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
bet365 Stadium
QPR logo

Stoke
1 - 0
QPR

Brown (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dunne (13')

Preview: Stoke City vs. Queens Park Rangers - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Queens Park Rangers face Stoke City on Saturday afternoon knowing that they realistically require all three points if they are to remain competitive in the Championship playoff race.

The Potters have long been out of the fight for the top six, but the home side have bounced back recently with four victories from six matches.


Match preview

Queens Park Rangers' manager Mark Warburton on February 15, 2022© Reuters

Such has been the level of QPR's drop off in form that it at one stage looked inevitable that Mark Warburton would be removed from his position in the dugout.

However, on the back of seven defeats in eight fixtures, the Hoops have responded with four points from games against Huddersfield Town and Derby County.

Capitalising on the inconsistencies of the teams above them, QPR are back to within three points of the top six with sixth-placed Sheffield United still to come at the Kiyan Prince Stadium.

The London outfit can be regarded as no more than outsiders to finish inside the playoffs, but that particular fixture has the potential to be pivotal, providing that QPR can overcome Stoke at the weekend.

Luke Amos has chipped in with two goals in succession, taking him to six strikes for the campaign, although Warburton would much prefer to see one of his forward line end their drought from open play.

Stoke City manager Michael O'Neill on February 8, 2022© Reuters

As far as Stoke are concerned, they will be bitterly disappointed with how their season has panned out, the club down in 14th spot when they would have expected to be in the middle of the promotion mix.

There is the realistic possibility that the club's hierarchy have already decided to make a change in the dugout during the summer, but Michael O'Neill's team have emerged as one of the form sides in the division over the past six games.

A total of 12 points have been accumulated during that period, the most recent of four victories coming at Blackburn Rovers by a 1-0 scoreline on Easter Monday.

Jacob Brown's early goal at Ewood Park took him to 12 strikes for the campaign, but only one other player in this squad - Lewis Baker with eight - has contributed more than five goals.

Stoke City Championship form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W

Queens Park Rangers Championship form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W



Team News

Queens Park Rangers' Charlie Austin celebrates scoring their first goal against Everton in the EFL Cup on September 21, 2021© Reuters

Barring any injury issues, O'Neill could stick with the Stoke side which recorded a much-needed victory at Blackburn.

Ben Wilmot impressed on his return to the back three and will retain his place, while Josh Maja seemingly did enough to keep his spot in the attack alongside Brown.

Mario Vrancic is an option in midfield ahead of Romaine Sawyers if O'Neill wants to introduce a fresh face.

Having made the decision to switch from his trademark back three, Warburton will likely stick with the 4-2-2-2 which was on show versus Derby.

However, Moses Odubajo faces missing out with a calf injury and could be replaced by Osman Kakay, with Charlie Austin in line for a potential recall in the final third.

Stoke City possible starting lineup:
Bonham; Wilmot, Jagielka, Harwood-Bellis; Smith, Baker, Allen, Sawyers, Tymon; Maja, Brown

Queens Park Rangers possible starting lineup:
Westwood; Kakay, Sanderson, Dunne, McCallum; Dozzell, Field; Amos, Chair; Thomas, Dykes


SM words green background

We say: Stoke City 1-1 Queens Park Rangers

While QPR will not necessarily go gung-ho into this fixture, Warburton is aware that a front-foot performance is required. However, despite their average home record, Stoke have the quality to more than match their opponents, leading us to predict a competitive share of the spoils.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Stoke vs QPR

Stoke City
39.3%
Draw
25.0%
Queens Park Rangers
35.7%
28
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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