Championship

Championship | Gameweek 29

Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
3 - 1
Stoke

Burstow (43'), Ba (49'), Ekwah (70')
Ballard (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Seelt (74' og.)
Wilmot (26'), Cundle (32'), Thompson (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Hull City
Friday, January 19 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sunderland 1-1 Stoke City

Given the reaction to the Hull defeat, Beale comes into this contest already facing widespread criticism. We feel that he will get back on track with a share of the spoils from this match, although that will not ease the pressure on his shoulders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Stoke City
37.22% ( -0.01)	25.01% ( 0)	37.78% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.75% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.32% (

-0.01)

45.68% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32% (

-0)

68% (

0.01)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.84% (

-0.01)

24.16% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.52% (

-0.01)

58.48% (

0.01)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.14% (

23.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.95% (

58.05% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 37.22%

Stoke City 37.78%

Draw 25%

Sunderland	Draw	Stoke City
2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 5.82% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.22%	1-1 @ 11.73% 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 25%	1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.92% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.02% 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.78%