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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Stoke logo

Sunderland
3 - 1
Stoke

Burstow (43'), Ba (49'), Ekwah (70')
Ballard (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Seelt (74' og.)
Wilmot (26'), Cundle (32'), Thompson (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 1-1 Stoke City

Given the reaction to the Hull defeat, Beale comes into this contest already facing widespread criticism. We feel that he will get back on track with a share of the spoils from this match, although that will not ease the pressure on his shoulders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
SunderlandDrawStoke City
37.22% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 25.01% (0.0019999999999989 0) 37.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.32% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)45.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.16% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.52% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)58.48% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14% (0.0040000000000049 0)23.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.95% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.05% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 37.22%
    Stoke City 37.78%
    Draw 25%
SunderlandDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.83%
3-0 @ 2.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 37.22%
1-1 @ 11.73%
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25%
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 5.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.02%
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 37.78%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Stoke

Sunderland
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Stoke City
28.6%
21
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Stoke
2-1
Sunderland
Mmaee (7'), McNally (47')
Johnson (21'), Burger (50'), Pearson (59'), Thompson (73'), Stevens (86')
Clarke (10')
Huggins (25'), Hume (34'), Clarke (64'), Aouchiche (90+4')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Sunderland
1-5
Stoke
Pritchard (62')
Laurent (41'), Campbell (53', 57'), Gayle (68', 76')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-1
Sunderland

Taylor (45+4'), Delap (48'), Brown (58')
Stewart (45+2')
O'Nien (13'), Matete (18'), Embleton (42'), Wright (49'), Clarke (63'), Pritchard (81')
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-3
Stoke
Defoe (40')
Djilobodji (62'), van Aanholt (72'), Januzaj (95')
Arnautovic (15', 22'), Crouch (34')
Adam (56')
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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