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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Stoke logo

Sunderland
3 - 1
Stoke

Burstow (43'), Ba (49'), Ekwah (70')
Ballard (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Seelt (74' og.)
Wilmot (26'), Cundle (32'), Thompson (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 1-1 Stoke City

Given the reaction to the Hull defeat, Beale comes into this contest already facing widespread criticism. We feel that he will get back on track with a share of the spoils from this match, although that will not ease the pressure on his shoulders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
SunderlandDrawStoke City
37.22% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 25.01% (0.0019999999999989 0) 37.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.32% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)45.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.16% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.52% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)58.48% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14% (0.0040000000000049 0)23.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.95% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.05% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 37.22%
    Stoke City 37.78%
    Draw 25%
SunderlandDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.83%
3-0 @ 2.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 37.22%
1-1 @ 11.73%
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25%
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 5.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.02%
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 37.78%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Stoke

Sunderland
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Stoke City
28.6%
21
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Stoke
2-1
Sunderland
Mmaee (7'), McNally (47')
Johnson (21'), Burger (50'), Pearson (59'), Thompson (73'), Stevens (86')
Clarke (10')
Huggins (25'), Hume (34'), Clarke (64'), Aouchiche (90+4')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Sunderland
1-5
Stoke
Pritchard (62')
Laurent (41'), Campbell (53', 57'), Gayle (68', 76')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-1
Sunderland

Taylor (45+4'), Delap (48'), Brown (58')
Stewart (45+2')
O'Nien (13'), Matete (18'), Embleton (42'), Wright (49'), Clarke (63'), Pritchard (81')
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-3
Stoke
Defoe (40')
Djilobodji (62'), van Aanholt (72'), Januzaj (95')
Arnautovic (15', 22'), Crouch (34')
Adam (56')
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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