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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Stoke City |
37.22% ( -0.01) | 25.01% ( 0) | 37.78% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.75% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.32% ( -0.01) | 45.68% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32% ( -0) | 68% ( 0.01) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.84% ( -0.01) | 24.16% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.52% ( -0.01) | 58.48% ( 0.01) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.14% ( 0) | 23.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.95% ( 0) | 58.05% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Stoke City |
2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 5.82% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.22% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 25% | 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.92% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.02% 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 25 |
4 | Burnley | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Watford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Bristol City | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Hull City | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
17 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
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