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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Leicester City |
28.95% (![]() | 23.93% (![]() | 47.12% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.65% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.74% (![]() | 43.26% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.34% (![]() | 65.66% (![]() |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.99% (![]() | 28.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.34% (![]() | 63.66% (![]() |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.47% (![]() | 18.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.23% (![]() | 49.76% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Leicester City |
2-1 @ 7.09% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.61% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.2% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.78% Total : 28.95% | 1-1 @ 11.13% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.19% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.42% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 9.39% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.75% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.38% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.27% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.15% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.41% ( ![]() Other @ 3.45% Total : 47.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |