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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Leicester logo

Stoke
0 - 5
Leicester


Leris (26'), Bae (47'), Wilmot (90'), Rose (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Daka (26', 66' pen.), McAteer (30'), Vardy (73', 90+8' pen.)
McAteer (40'), Mavididi (42'), Justin (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 3-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 3-1 Swansea
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Leicester City

While Stoke have been poor at home this season, they are usually competitive against the bigger sides. Nevertheless, we cannot back against Leicester, and expect the visitors to see out the win after taking control during the first half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawLeicester City
28.95% (-1.375 -1.38) 23.93% (-0.325 -0.32) 47.12% (1.697 1.7)
Both teams to score 58.65% (0.253 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.74% (0.716 0.72)43.26% (-0.719 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.34% (0.701 0.7)65.66% (-0.70399999999999 -0.7)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.99% (-0.565 -0.56)28.01% (0.564 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.34% (-0.726 -0.73)63.66% (0.723 0.72)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47% (0.983 0.98)18.53% (-0.985 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.23% (1.635 1.64)49.76% (-1.637 -1.64)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 28.95%
    Leicester City 47.12%
    Draw 23.92%
Stoke CityDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 7.09% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-0 @ 6.61% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-0 @ 4.2% (-0.275 -0.28)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.78% (-0.146 -0.15)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 28.95%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.19% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 9.39% (0.141 0.14)
0-1 @ 8.75% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.38% (0.225 0.23)
1-3 @ 5.27% (0.238 0.24)
0-3 @ 4.15% (0.25 0.25)
2-3 @ 3.36% (0.101 0.1)
1-4 @ 2.22% (0.166 0.17)
0-4 @ 1.75% (0.156 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.41% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 47.12%

How you voted: Stoke vs Leicester

Stoke City
11.8%
Draw
23.5%
Leicester City
64.7%
17
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Leicester
2-0
Stoke
Iheanacho (24'), Vardy (79')
Vestergaard (26')

Burger (32')
Jan 9, 2021 3pm
Third Round
Stoke
0-4
Leicester

Batth (37')
Justin (34'), Albrighton (59'), Perez (79'), Barnes (81')
Fofana (28')
Jul 27, 2019 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stoke
1-2
Leicester
Powell (70')
Albrighton (60'), Tielemans (84')
Feb 24, 2018 12.30pm
Leicester
1-1
Stoke
Butland (70' og.)
Albrighton (18')
Shaqiri (44')
Allen (9'), Biram Diouf (23'), Adam (82')
Nov 4, 2017 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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