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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Stoke City |
25.4% ( 1.75) | 24.06% ( 0.44) | 50.54% ( -2.19) |
Both teams to score 55.2% ( 0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.54% ( -0.26) | 46.45% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.26% ( -0.25) | 68.73% ( 0.25) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.65% ( 1.34) | 32.34% ( -1.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.15% ( 1.49) | 68.85% ( -1.49) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.58% ( -0.93) | 18.41% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.42% ( -1.6) | 49.57% ( 1.6) |
Score Analysis |
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.58% Total : 25.4% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.43) 1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.4) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.24) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.38% Total : 50.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 25 |
4 | Burnley | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Watford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Bristol City | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Hull City | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
17 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
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