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Championship | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 3pm UK
Liberty Stadium
Millwall logo

Swansea
2 - 1
Millwall

Bidwell (46'), Cabango (69')
Guehi (27')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bradshaw (51')
Malone (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

The Wales team have taken 10 points from their first four league games.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship fixture between Swansea City and Millwall, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
38.6%29.09%32.31%
Both teams to score 44.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.61%62.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.98%82.02%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.66%31.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.3%67.7%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.49%35.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.72%72.27%
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 38.6%
    Millwall 32.31%
    Draw 29.07%
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.91%
2-1 @ 7.76%
2-0 @ 7.49%
3-1 @ 3%
3-0 @ 2.9%
3-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 38.6%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 29.07%
0-1 @ 11.52%
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-2 @ 5.96%
1-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 32.31%

Head to Head
Jun 30, 2020 5pm
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 31
Swansea
1-0
Millwall
Byers (43')

Marshall (42'), Archer (87')
Sep 1, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Millwall
1-2
Swansea
Wallace (62')
Wallace (53')
Naughton (77'), McBurnie (85')
Montero (89')
Baker-Richardson (5')
Apr 30, 2011 3pm
Millwall
0-2
Swansea
Pratley (30'), Dobbie (47')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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