Championship

Championship | Gameweek 40

Jun 30, 2020 at 5pm UK

The Den

Millwall
1 - 1
Swansea

Bennett (21')
Hutchinson (5'), Wallace (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bialkowski (66' og.)
Byers (25')

Gary Rowett admits Millwall are missing fan boost

Millwall were held to a 1-1 draw at home to Swansea.

Jun 30, 23:27

The Match

Match Report

Rhian Brewster helped Swansea hit back to earn a point at Millwall.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship fixture between Millwall and Swansea City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Swansea City
39.39%	26.26%	34.35%

Both teams to score 53.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.53%

51.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.72%

73.28%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.37%

25.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.47%

60.53%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.45%

28.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.66%

64.34%

Score Analysis

Millwall 39.39%

Swansea City 34.35%

Draw 26.25%

Millwall	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 9.96% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.44% Total : 39.39%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.32% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 9.17% 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.68% Total : 34.35%