Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Championship
for
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Championship
for
We said: Swansea City 1-0 Plymouth Argyle
After victory over Derby in South Wales on the weekend, Swansea should be confident of making it back-to-back wins over a struggling Plymouth side. Despite their antics at Home Park on Saturday, the Pilgrims are still extremely unlikely to earn a positive result on their travels this time around. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 67.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 12.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
67.88% ( 1.37) | 19.34% ( -0.65) | 12.77% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 47.6% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.98% ( 1.18) | 45.02% ( -1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.63% ( 1.13) | 67.37% ( -1.12) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.75% ( 0.75) | 12.25% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.04% ( 1.54) | 37.96% ( -1.54) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.24% ( -0.39) | 45.76% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.46% ( -0.31) | 81.54% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 2-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 11.76% ( -0.26)2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.28)4-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.17)5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.17% Total : 67.87% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.77% Total : 19.34% | 0-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.16% Total : 12.77% |
