Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Swansea0 - 2Burnley
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Watford 1-0 Swansea
Wednesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Wednesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 West Brom
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
We said: Swansea City 0-1 Burnley
Swansea's character and mental fortitude could not be called into question at Vicarage Road, even if they ended up on the wrong end of the scoreline, and they have the defensive nous to frustrate their Premier League-chasing counterparts. However, Sheehan's men are now pitting their wits against the rearguard masters, who also possess more difference-makers in attack and should only need the one strike to reignite their top-two charge. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Burnley |
32.99% ( -0.31) | 27.78% ( -0.03) | 39.24% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 48.14% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.32% ( 0.07) | 57.68% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.56% ( 0.05) | 78.44% ( -0.05) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.45% ( -0.17) | 32.55% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.92% ( -0.2) | 69.09% ( 0.2) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.37% ( 0.23) | 28.64% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.56% ( 0.28) | 64.45% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
Swansea City 32.99%
Burnley 39.23%
Draw 27.78%
| Swansea City | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.99% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.78% | 0-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.73% Total : 39.23% |
How you voted: Swansea vs Burnley
Swansea City
25.5%Draw
8.5%Burnley
66.0%47
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
Burnley
1-0
Swansea
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Feb 10, 2018 3pm
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
