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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Burnley logo

Swansea
vs.
Burnley

Coverage of the Championship clash between Swansea City and Burnley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Championship
Next Game: Watford vs. Swansea
Wednesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 4-0 Luton
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Championship
Next Game: Burnley vs. West Brom
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burnley win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 33.3% and a draw has a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.07%).

Result
Swansea CityDrawBurnley
33.3% (-1.35 -1.35) 27.75% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 38.95% (1.433 1.43)
Both teams to score 48.28% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.47% (0.142 0.14)57.53% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.68% (0.112 0.11)78.32% (-0.10900000000001 -0.11)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.74% (-0.82299999999999 -0.82)32.26% (0.824 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.24% (-0.945 -0.95)68.76% (0.946 0.95)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (0.914 0.91)28.73% (-0.912 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.44% (1.124 1.12)64.56% (-1.122 -1.12)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 33.3%
    Burnley 38.94%
    Draw 27.74%
Swansea CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.48% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-1 @ 7.4% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-0 @ 5.93% (-0.308 -0.31)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.24% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 33.3%
1-1 @ 13.07% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.27% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.74%
0-1 @ 11.55% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 8.16% (0.184 0.18)
0-2 @ 7.21% (0.32 0.32)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.159 0.16)
0-3 @ 3% (0.205 0.21)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.075 0.08)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 38.94%

Who will win Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea and Burnley?

Swansea City
Draw
Burnley
Swansea City
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Burnley
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
Burnley
1-0
Swansea
Rodriguez (90+4' pen.)
Cullen (32')

Pereira Martins (61'), Cullen (86'), Cabango (90+6')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Swansea
1-2
Burnley
Cooper (27')
Maatsen (13', 22')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Burnley
4-0
Swansea
Vitinho (15'), Rodriguez (29', 57'), Zaroury (45+3')
Feb 10, 2018 3pm
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Burnley
2-0
Swansea
Cork (29'), Barnes (39')
Ward (17')

Dyer (97')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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