Championship

Championship | Gameweek 43

Apr 18, 2022 at 3pm UK

Madejski Stadium

Reading
4 - 4
Swansea

Joao (3' pen., 71'), Ince (61'), McIntyre (90+5')
Ince (20'), Morrison (68')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Wolf (6'), Piroe (12', 45+2' pen.), Obafemi (58')
Downes (41'), Christie (55'), Ntcham (90'), Obafemi (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Reading and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

Last Six:

Last Game: Luton 1-0 Reading
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
20	Birmingham City	46	-25	47
21	Reading	46	-33	41
22	Peterborough United	46	-44	37

Swansea City

Last Six:

Last Game: Swansea 0-1 QPR
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Stoke City	46	5	62
15	Swansea City	46	-10	61
16	Blackpool	46	-4	60

We said: Reading 1-1 Swansea City

With both sides coming into this game on the back of some strong form, we can see them cancelling each other out in an even encounter on Monday. Reading do not need to push for the win thanks to a healthy cushion above the relegation zone, so they are likely to settle for a point, whilst the visitors are expected to be rotated significantly, suggesting that they are not desperately pushing for the playoff places. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Reading had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Reading	Draw	Swansea City
25.22%	24.92%	49.85%

Both teams to score 52.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.79%

50.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.83%

72.16%

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.49%

34.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.77%

71.22%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.84%

20.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.56%

52.43%

Score Analysis

Reading 25.22%

Swansea City 49.84%

Draw 24.92%

Reading	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 7.4% 2-1 @ 6.31% 2-0 @ 3.94% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 1.79% 3-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.16% Total : 25.22%	1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 6.95% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.92%	0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 9.49% 0-2 @ 8.92% 1-3 @ 5.07% 0-3 @ 4.76% 2-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 2.03% 0-4 @ 1.91% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.75% Total : 49.84%