Changchun

3 - 2

Beijing Guoan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 20.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.