Changchun

3 - 4

Wuhan TT

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 56.01%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 22.26% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 2-1 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.