Henan Jianye

1 - 3

Evergrande

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 49.88%. A win for Henan Jianye had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Henan Jianye win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou Evergrande would win this match.