Evergrande

2 - 1

Jiangsu

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 50.6%. A win for Jiangsu Suning had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Jiangsu Suning win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Guangzhou Evergrande in this match.