Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 56.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 20.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
