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Shenzhen FC
Chinese Super League | Gameweek 17
Sep 24, 2022 at 1pm UK
Shenzhen Universiade Sports Centre

Shenzhen
0 - 4
Shandong


Zhang (27')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Crysan (39', 61'), Moises (76'), Guo (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Chinese Super League clash between Shenzhen and Shandong Taishan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shenzhen

Last Six:
Last Game: Wuhan 0-3 Shenzhen
Tuesday, September 20 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Shandong Taishan

Last Six:
Last Game: Shandong 1-1 Wuhan TT
Wednesday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

We said: Shenzhen 0-2 Shandong Taishan

 Shenzhen have been defensively frugal to a large extent on their own turf this term, but this has often come at the expense of being toothless at the other end. Shandong, meanwhile, have found the back of the bet in all but one of their away matches so far, and we are backing them to get the job done here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 57.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 19.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
ShenzhenDrawShandong Taishan
19.89% (-0.466 -0.47) 22.66% (-0.264 -0.26) 57.45% (0.727 0.73)
Both teams to score 52.61% (0.102 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.55% (0.5 0.5)46.45% (-0.503 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.27% (0.469 0.47)68.73% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)
Shenzhen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.56% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)37.44% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.78% (-0.197 -0.2)74.22% (0.19499999999999 0.19)
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.09% (0.426 0.43)15.91% (-0.428 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.85% (0.775 0.77)45.15% (-0.778 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Shenzhen 19.89%
    Shandong Taishan 57.44%
    Draw 22.66%
ShenzhenDrawShandong Taishan
1-0 @ 5.85% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-1 @ 5.28% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-0 @ 2.87% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-1 @ 1.73% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 0.94% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 19.89%
1-1 @ 10.75% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.96% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.66%
0-1 @ 10.94% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 10.06% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.89% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.17% (0.136 0.14)
1-3 @ 6.06% (0.102 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.98% (0.034 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.83% (0.102 0.1)
1-4 @ 2.79% (0.086 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.37% (0.035 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.04% (0.052 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.02% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 57.44%

How you voted: Shenzhen vs Shandong

Shenzhen
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
Shandong Taishan
80.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2021 11am
Shandong
4-2
Shenzhen
Xin (4'), Fellaini (19', 33'), Guo (29')
Son (16'), Qi (83')
Yuanyi (31'), Acheampong (44')
Wakaso (42'), Mincheng (63')
May 14, 2021 11am
Shenzhen
2-2
Shandong
Dai (46', 63')
Wakaso (13'), Kardec (49'), Lin (50'), Haolun (65'), Pouraliganji (82')
Fellaini (29', 52')
Son (36'), Leonardo (69')
Jul 21, 2019 12.35pm
Shandong
3-0
Shenzhen
Selnaes (16' og.), Fellaini (24'), Pelle (52')

Weilong (14'), Yiming (59'), Zhen (90')
Apr 5, 2019 12.35pm
Shenzhen
1-1
Shandong
Selnaes (49')
Haidong (19')
Pelle (61')
Yang (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shanghai PortShanghai Port30253296306678
2Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua30245173205377
3Chengdu RongchengChengdu30185765313459
4Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan30168665353056
5Shandong TaishanShandong3013984940948
6Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen30126124447-342
7Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang30115145560-538
8HenanHenan3099123439-536
9Changchun YataiChangchun3088144658-1232
10Qingdao Youth Island3088144158-1732
11Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT3087153144-1331
12Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou3078153357-2429
13Sichuan JiuniuSichuan3078152955-2629
14Qingdao Hainiu3085172855-2729
15Meizhou Hakka3069152955-2627
16Nantong Zhiyun3057183266-3422
> Chinese Super League Full Table


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