We said: Shenzhen 0-2 Shandong Taishan
Shenzhen have been defensively frugal to a large extent on their own turf this term, but this has often come at the expense of being toothless at the other end. Shandong, meanwhile, have found the back of the bet in all but one of their away matches so far, and we are backing them to get the job done here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 57.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 19.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
-0.47) 
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