CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 20, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio Tiburcio Carias Andino
Motagua1 - 4Cincinnati
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Motagua and FC Cincinnati.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-0 NY City (5-6 pen.)
Saturday, November 9 at 9pm in MLS Playoffs
Saturday, November 9 at 9pm in MLS Playoffs
Next Game: Cincinnati vs. NY Red Bulls
Sunday, February 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, February 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
0
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Motagua had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Motagua win was 1-0 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motagua | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
27.62% ( 0.17) | 24.52% ( 0.02) | 47.86% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 55.67% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
