Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonaire win with a probability of 46.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for US Virgin Islands had a probability of 25.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bonaire win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a US Virgin Islands win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bonaire would win this match.

Result
Bonaire	Draw	US Virgin Islands
46.59% ( 0.01)	27.84% ( -0)	25.57% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 44.32% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.28% (

-0.01)

60.72% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.22% (

-0.01)

80.78% (

Bonaire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.86% (

26.13% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.79% (

61.2% (

-0.01)

US Virgin Islands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.99% (

-0.02)

40% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.34% (

-0.02)

76.65% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Bonaire 46.58%

US Virgin Islands 25.57%

Draw 27.83%

Bonaire	Draw	US Virgin Islands
1-0 @ 14.02% 2-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.62% 3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.98% Total : 46.58%	1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 10.45% 2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.83%	0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 1.37% Total : 25.57%