Nicaragua

4 - 1

St Vincent & Gr.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 76.61%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 8.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.37%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.04%), while for a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win it was 0-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.