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CONCACAF Nations League | League C
Mar 23, 2023 at 7pm UK
 
Saint Kitts and Nevis national football team

Saint Martin
1 - 3
Saint Kitts

Arne (31')
Richardson (62'), Dumas (72'), Bellechasse (80')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Williams (26'), Sawyers (35'), Panayiotou (89')
Williams (6'), Maynard (83')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between Saint Martin and Saint Kitts and Nevis.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 2-0 Saint Martin
Sunday, January 29 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Saint Kitts 1-1 Saint Martin
Monday, June 13 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 69.56%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Saint Martin had a probability of 12.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.78%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Saint Martin win it was 1-0 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Kitts and Nevis would win this match.

Result
Saint MartinDrawSaint Kitts and Nevis
12.54% (-0.291 -0.29) 17.89% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 69.56% (0.288 0.29)
Both teams to score 51.93% (-0.966 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.06% (-0.802 -0.8)38.94% (0.807 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.74% (-0.847 -0.85)61.26% (0.852 0.85)
Saint Martin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.76% (-0.979 -0.98)42.24% (0.986 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.36% (-0.857 -0.86)78.64% (0.86199999999999 0.86)
Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.9% (-0.142 -0.14)10.1% (0.147 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.75% (-0.334 -0.33)33.25% (0.339 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Saint Martin 12.54%
    Saint Kitts and Nevis 69.56%
    Draw 17.89%
Saint MartinDrawSaint Kitts and Nevis
1-0 @ 3.68% (0.042 0.04)
2-1 @ 3.63% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-0 @ 1.58% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.2% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.04% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 12.54%
1-1 @ 8.43% (0.041 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.27% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 17.89%
0-2 @ 11.21% (0.29 0.29)
0-1 @ 9.78% (0.307 0.31)
1-2 @ 9.66% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 8.57% (0.162 0.16)
1-3 @ 7.39% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-4 @ 4.91% (0.062 0.06)
1-4 @ 4.23% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-5 @ 2.25% (0.015 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.94% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.82% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 4.61%
Total : 69.56%

How you voted: Saint Martin vs Saint Kitts

Saint Martin
16.7%
Draw
50.0%
Saint Kitts and Nevis
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Jun 13, 2022 12am
Saint Kitts
1-1
Saint Martin
Clarke (90+3')
Arne (34')
Dalmat (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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