Aruba

2 - 3

Saint Kitts

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aruba win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aruba win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.93%) and 2-0 (5.24%). The likeliest Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.