Copa America | Group Stage

Jun 29, 2024 at 2am UK

Allegiant Stadium

Paraguay
vs.
Brazil

Preview

Data Analysis

Predicted XI

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa America clash between Paraguay and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Friday's Copa America clash with Paraguay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paraguay

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: Colombia 2-1 Paraguay
Monday, June 24 at 11pm in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Brazil

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: Brazil 0-0 Costa Rica
Tuesday, June 25 at 2am in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Their opening game could be the wakeup call Brazil need, and although they are young there is too much attacking talent for us to believe Selecao will be held off the scoresheet once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brazil win with a probability of 66.85%. A draw has a probability of 21.1% and a win for Paraguay has a probability of 12.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (14.09%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Paraguay win it is 1-0 (5.16%).

Result
Paraguay	Draw	Brazil
12.07% ( 0.33)	21.07% ( 0.25)	66.85% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 40.48% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.43% (

-0.21)

53.56% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.92% (

-0.18)

75.07% (

0.19)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.75% (

0.44)

52.25% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.83% (

0.29)

86.16% (

-0.28)

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.78% (

-0.25)

15.22% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.13% (

-0.48)

43.87% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Paraguay 12.07%

Brazil 66.84%

Draw 21.07%

Paraguay	Draw	Brazil
1-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.08% Total : 12.07%	1-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.07%	0-1 @ 14.96% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 14.09% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 8.84% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 5.74% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 4.16% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 2.7% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.57% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 66.84%