MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 17:00:22| >> :60:16:16:
Mexico national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 9, 2024 at 2am UK
Soldier Field
Brazil national football team

Mexico
2 - 3
Brazil

Quinones (73' og.), Martinez (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pereira (5'), Martinelli (54'), Endrick (90+6')
Couto (27'), Militao (68'), Endrick (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Mexico and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Brazil could line up in Saturday's international friendly with Mexico.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 0-4 Uruguay
Thursday, June 6 at 2am in International Friendlies

Brazil

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Spain 3-3 Brazil
Tuesday, March 26 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Mexico 0-2 Brazil

 Mexico will be looking to bounce back from their disappointing performance against Uruguay, but this will be a tough assignment against a very talented Brazil side. We are not expecting too many goals on Saturday but believe that Brazil will have too much quality for their opponents in the contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Brazil had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Brazil win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
MexicoDrawBrazil
38.84% (-1.6 -1.6) 26.96% (0.285 0.29) 34.2% (1.314 1.31)
Both teams to score 50.85% (-0.599 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.63% (-0.893 -0.89)54.36% (0.89599999999999 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.25% (-0.751 -0.75)75.74% (0.752 0.75)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.72% (-1.295 -1.3)27.28% (1.296 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.28% (-1.713 -1.71)62.72% (1.714 1.71)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.93% (0.414 0.41)30.07% (-0.412 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.79% (0.493 0.49)66.2% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 38.83%
    Brazil 34.2%
    Draw 26.96%
MexicoDrawBrazil
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.228 -0.23)
2-0 @ 6.92% (-0.272 -0.27)
3-1 @ 3.6% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.234 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 38.83%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.2% (0.282 0.28)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 9.86% (0.447 0.45)
1-2 @ 7.69% (0.16 0.16)
0-2 @ 5.92% (0.333 0.33)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.098 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.159 0.16)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 34.2%

How you voted: Mexico vs Brazil

Mexico
16.9%
Draw
5.6%
Brazil
77.5%
178
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2018 3pm
Round of 16
Brazil
2-0
Mexico
Neymar (51'), Firmino (88')
> Match Report
Jun 7, 2015 9pm
International Friendlies
Brazil
2-0
Mexico
> Match Report
Jun 17, 2014 8pm
Group Stage
Brazil
0-0
Mexico
Ramires (45'), Silva (80')
Aguilar (59'), Juan Vazquez (62')
> Match Report
Jun 19, 2013 8pm
Groups
Brazil
2-0
Mexico
Neymar, Jo
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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