Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Although Panama are in far better form than their visitors, Paraguay can end their barren run in front of goal and hold out for a low-scoring draw. Both squads will head off for the USA in hope rather than expectation, and their respective failings may be exposed on Sunday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 63.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 13.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.74%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Panama	Draw	Paraguay
63.82% ( 0.09)	22.65% ( 0)	13.53% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 40.09% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.6% (

-0.18)

56.4% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.59% (

-0.14)

77.41% (

0.14)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.79% (

-0.03)

17.21% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.51% (

-0.05)

47.49% (

0.05)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.43% (

-0.26)

51.57% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.28% (

-0.17)

85.72% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Panama 63.82%

Paraguay 13.53%

Draw 22.65%

Panama	Draw	Paraguay
1-0 @ 15.61% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 63.82%	1-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.65%	0-1 @ 5.88% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.28% Total : 13.53%