World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 22, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Brazil0 - 1Argentina
Reaction
Argentina inflict first-ever home World Cup qualifying defeat on Brazil
A Nicolas Otamendi header sees Argentina inflict a first-ever home World Cup qualifying defeat on Brazil as the world champions record a famous 1-0 victory at the Maracana.
Nov 22, 07:50
Lionel Scaloni hints at stepping down from Argentina job
Argentina boss Lionel Scaloni admits that he is weighing up his future after seeing his side beat Brazil 1-0 in World Cup qualifying.
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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's 2026 World Cup qualification match between Brazil and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Brazil could line up in Tuesday's 2026 World Cup qualifier with Argentina.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Colombia 2-1 Brazil
Friday, November 17 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Friday, November 17 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Argentina 0-2 Uruguay
Friday, November 17 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Friday, November 17 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Brazil 1-1 Argentina
Both sides will be determined to bounce back from defeats last time out, but it could be a cagey match in terms of the general play, as both managers will be wary of losing it. It would not be a surprise to see Brazil win this despite their disappointing form, but we just have a feeling that the spoils will be shared on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 47.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Argentina had a probability of 26.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for an Argentina win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brazil | Draw | Argentina |
47.77% ( -1.55) | 26.22% ( 0.6) | 26.02% ( 0.95) |
| Both teams to score 49.12% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
