Copa America | Quarter-Finals
Jul 6, 2024 at 2am UK
AT&T Stadium
Venezuela1 - 1Canada
Canada win 4-3 on penalties
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa America clash between Venezuela and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Canada could line up for Friday's Copa America clash with Venezuela.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Jamaica 0-3 Venezuela
Monday, July 1 at 1am in Copa America
Monday, July 1 at 1am in Copa America
We said: Venezuela 1-1 Canada (Venezuela advances on penalties)
The Canadians have been a resilient group, but in a match that could be about holding your nerve, we trust the experience of players like Rondon to carry the Venezuelans through. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Venezuela | Draw | Canada |
31.86% ( -0.3) | 28.1% ( 0.09) | 40.03% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 46.9% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.9% ( -0.39) | 59.09% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.45% ( -0.3) | 79.54% ( 0.3) |
| Venezuela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.92% ( -0.42) | 34.08% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.23% ( -0.45) | 70.76% ( 0.45) |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% ( -0.07) | 28.86% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.28% ( -0.09) | 64.72% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Venezuela 31.85%
Canada 40.03%
Draw 28.1%
| Venezuela | Draw | Canada |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.33% Total : 31.85% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.1% | 0-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.66% Total : 40.03% |
How you voted: Venezuela vs Canada
Venezuela
68.0%Canada
32.0%219
Form Guide
Build-up
Canada lineup vs. Venezuela: Predicted XI for Copa America quarter-final match
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Canada could line up for Friday's Copa America clash with Venezuela.
315 days ago
Venezuela lineup vs. Canada: Predicted XI for Copa America quarter-final match
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Venezuela could line up for Friday's Copa America clash with Canada.
315 days ago
