There are players in this Canadian squad who will feel that they can impact on this contest, perhaps even guide Canada to a draw. However, we are backing the Dutch to eventually come through in style, potentially courtesy of a fast conclusion to the match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Canada had a probability of 20.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
Netherlands	Draw	Canada
55.74% ( -0.02)	23.69% ( 0.01)	20.57% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 50.47% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.16% (

-0)

49.84% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.16% (

-0)

71.84% (

0.01)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.28% (

-0.01)

17.72% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.61% (

-0.02)

48.39% (

0.02)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.34% (

0.02)

38.66% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.6% (

0.02)

75.41% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Netherlands 55.72%

Canada 20.57%

Draw 23.68%

Netherlands	Draw	Canada
1-0 @ 11.85% 2-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.52% Total : 55.72%	1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.68%	0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.47% Total : 20.57%