MX23RW : Wednesday, March 12 10:39:09| >> :60:33:33:
Netherlands national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Feijenoord
Canada national football team

Netherlands
4 - 0
Canada

Depay (50'), Frimpong (57'), Weghorst (63'), van Dijk (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bombito (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Netherlands and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Netherlands could line up for Thursday's international friendly against Canada.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Germany 2-1 Netherlands
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Canada 2-0 Trin. & Tob.
Saturday, March 23 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Netherlands 3-1 Canada

There are players in this Canadian squad who will feel that they can impact on this contest, perhaps even guide Canada to a draw. However, we are backing the Dutch to eventually come through in style, potentially courtesy of a fast conclusion to the match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Canada had a probability of 20.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawCanada
55.74% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 23.69% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 20.57% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.47% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.16% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)49.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)71.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)17.72% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.61% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)48.39% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.34% (0.023000000000003 0.02)38.66% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.6% (0.021000000000001 0.02)75.41% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 55.72%
    Canada 20.57%
    Draw 23.68%
NetherlandsDrawCanada
1-0 @ 11.85%
2-0 @ 10.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 5.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.43% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 55.72%
1-1 @ 11.26%
0-0 @ 6.85% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 23.68%
0-1 @ 6.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.09% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.7% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 20.57%

How you voted: Netherlands vs Canada

Netherlands
80.1%
Draw
13.1%
Canada
6.8%
176
rhs 2.0
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