We said: Peru 1-0 Canada
In these big tournaments, you have to take advantage of the opportunities presented to you, and just as we saw in the 2022 World Cup, Canada have not been able to find that decisive quality against superior opponents.
Peru may not possess as much attacking depth as the Canadians, but their rock-solid backline and experienced strikers have proven they can create a magical moment when needed.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Peru had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Peru win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Canada in this match.