We said: Guatemala 0-2 Venezuela
Venezuela are increasingly hard to beat, and they caused Italy some problems in Miami, coming close to stealing a draw. As Guatemala's goal threat is minimal, La Vinotinto should coast to victory on Sunday evening.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 45.93%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 25.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.