Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 30, 2024 at 1am UK
Orlando City Stadium
Canada0 - 0Chile
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Peru 0-1 Canada
Tuesday, June 25 at 11pm in Copa America
Tuesday, June 25 at 11pm in Copa America
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Canada | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Chile | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Peru | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Last Game: Chile 0-1 Argentina
Wednesday, June 26 at 2am in Copa America
Wednesday, June 26 at 2am in Copa America
We said: Canada 1-1 Chile
A closely-fought contest between two teams with contrasting levels of experience on the Copa America stage could be on the cards this weekend. Although Chile - who must win to keep their knockout hopes alive - will be regarded by some as slight favourites, we can see an upbeat Canada side claiming at least a share of the spoils this time around. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Canada had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Canada win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Canada | Draw | Chile |
34.11% ( -0.09) | 25.33% ( 0.08) | 40.57% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 56.22% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.52% ( -0.38) | 47.48% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.31% ( -0.36) | 69.69% ( 0.35) |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.23% ( -0.24) | 26.77% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.95% ( -0.31) | 62.05% ( 0.31) |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.77% ( -0.17) | 23.23% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.86% ( -0.24) | 57.14% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
Canada 34.11%
Chile 40.57%
Draw 25.32%
| Canada | Draw | Chile |
| 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.13% Total : 34.11% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.22% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.57% |
How you voted: Canada vs Chile
Canada
50.8%Draw
27.1%Chile
22.1%181
