Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 27, 2024 at 2am UK
Masafi Stadium
Venezuela1 - 0Mexico
Form, Standings, Stats
Copa America
Last Game: Ecuador 1-2 Venezuela
Saturday, June 22 at 11pm in Copa America
Saturday, June 22 at 11pm in Copa America
We said: Venezuela 2-1 Mexico
Losing Alvarez is a big blow to the Mexicans, who have struggled with consistency since Lozano took charge, looking shaky in numerous instances against the Reggae Boyz. Venezuela will be brimming with confidence after their opening victory, and we believe they have the quality to unlock that Mexican backline and provide another surprise. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 49.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 23.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-0 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Venezuela would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Venezuela | Draw | Mexico |
23.09% ( -0.09) | 27.37% ( -0.01) | 49.54% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 43.37% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.22% ( -0.04) | 60.78% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.17% ( -0.02) | 80.83% ( 0.03) |
| Venezuela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.63% ( -0.1) | 42.37% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.24% ( -0.09) | 78.76% ( 0.09) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.26% ( 0.03) | 24.74% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.71% ( 0.04) | 59.29% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Venezuela 23.09%
Mexico 49.54%
Draw 27.36%
| Venezuela | Draw | Mexico |
| 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.1% Total : 23.09% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 14.64% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 10.22% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 8.78% 0-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 49.54% |
How you voted: Venezuela vs Mexico
Venezuela
39.8%Draw
19.4%Mexico
40.8%196
