Copa Libertadores | Third Round
Apr 16, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
Junior3 - 0Bolivar
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Junior would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Junior | Draw | Bolivar |
| 51.01% | 23.27% | 25.73% |
| Both teams to score 58.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
