Copa Libertadores | Third Round
Apr 9, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
Bolivar2 - 1Junior
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 37.96% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.08%) and 3-2 (4.86%). The likeliest Atletico Junior win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolivar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolivar | Draw | Atletico Junior |
| 41.08% | 20.96% | 37.96% |
| Both teams to score 73.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
