Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Bolivar win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.