Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 23, 2021 at 3am UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez
Junior1 - 1Santa Fe
Hinestroza (31'), David Osorio Antury (35' pen.)
Steven Angel Bernal (6'), Adolfo Arias Andrade (17'), Arboleda (24'), Torijano Cano (29')
Arboleda (71')
Steven Angel Bernal (6'), Adolfo Arias Andrade (17'), Arboleda (24'), Torijano Cano (29')
Arboleda (71')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 45%. A win for Santa Fe had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Santa Fe win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Junior | Draw | Santa Fe |
| 45% | 24.25% | 30.76% |
| Both teams to score 58.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
