Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Apr 4, 2021 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Velez Sarsfield4 - 1Santa Fe
De La Fuente (7'), Bouzat (42'), Orellano (85'), Martin Lucero (87')
De La Fuente (13'), Brizuela (19'), Gianetti (70')
De La Fuente (13'), Brizuela (19'), Gianetti (70')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Velez Sarsfield and Santa Fe.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Santa Fe had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Santa Fe win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Santa Fe |
| 39.52% | 27.45% | 33.03% |
| Both teams to score 49.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
