Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 6, 2022 at 1am UK

Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid

Bragantino
1 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Hurtado (84')
Helinho (11'), Artur (76'), Ortiz (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pratto (14')
Gomez (30'), Hoyos (75')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Bragantino and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 51.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 21.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Bragantino	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
51.12%	27.06%	21.82%

Both teams to score 42.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.22%

60.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.17%

80.83%

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76%

24.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.74%

58.26%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.34%

43.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.16%

79.84%

Score Analysis

Bragantino 51.11%

Velez Sarsfield 21.82%

Draw 27.05%

Bragantino	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 14.95% 2-0 @ 10.66% 2-1 @ 8.84% 3-0 @ 5.07% 3-1 @ 4.21% 4-0 @ 1.81% 3-2 @ 1.74% 4-1 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.33% Total : 51.11%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 10.48% 2-2 @ 3.66% Other @ 0.52% Total : 27.05%	0-1 @ 8.69% 1-2 @ 5.14% 0-2 @ 3.6% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.01% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.97% Total : 21.82%